Match Info

Serie A - Round 21

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Pisa		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	6.25	4	1.57	Watch
	5.9	4.15	1.55	Watch
	6.25	4.16	1.55	Watch
	6	3.8	1.53
	6.34	4.06	1.6
	6.33	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (3.25)	4.03 ↑ (3.5)	1.56 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
15.4%

Draw
23.6%

Atalanta
61%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

26.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	11.6%	84.9%

Pisa - Atalanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atalanta (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (73 of 85 users predict this - 85.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.48% – 93.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 35 - 97.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Scuffet S. (G) 26. Coppola F. 33. Calabresi A. 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. (C) 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 10. Tramoni M. 9. Meister H.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 4. Hien I. 69. Ahanor H. 6. Musah Y. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
42. Bettazzi B. 2. Bozhinov R. 16. Buffon L. 17. Durosinmi R. 19. Esteves T. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 76. Mbambi J. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 1. Semper A. (G)	13. Ederson 23. Kolasinac S. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 70. Maldini D. 18. Raspadori G. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 77. Zappacosta D.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Pasalic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Scamacca G. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
56', Musah Y. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
56', Pasalic M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
66', Scalvini G. 🟨,
68', Marin M. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
68', Meister H. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
70', Scalvini G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
81', Coppola F. 🟨,
81', Zalewski N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Durosinmi R. ⚽, Leris M. (A),
90+1', Calabresi A. ↓, Bozhinov R. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).

Recent form of Pisa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atalanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Atalanta is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E. (International duty) Albiol R. (Injury) Caracciolo Ant. (Yellow Cards) Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Djimsiti B. (Injury) Lookman A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Kossounou O. (Rest)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Pisa - Juventus	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Cagliari - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTLT
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Atalanta - Torino	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Atalanta - Roma	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Atalanta - Pisa	1:1
Coppa Italia
23.08.14	Atalanta - Pisa	2:0

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