Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	22:45	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Pisa		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.95	3.32	2.04
	3.86	3.36	2.02	Watch
	3.85	3.26	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (3.86)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
24.9%

Draw
29.5%

Lazio
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

28.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Pisa - Lazio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lazio (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Pisa (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Lazio (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (63 of 80 users predict this - 78.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.79% – 87.71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 3 - 7.3%). Lazio (votes: 36 - 87.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 44. Denoon D. 5. Canestrelli S. 11. Cuadrado J. 15. Toure I. 20. Aebischer M. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 18. Nzola M.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 76. Mbambi J. 9. Meister H. 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 21. Vural I.	21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Denoon D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dia B. ↓, Pedro ↑,
46', Denoon D. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
58', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
58', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
61', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
61', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
65', Tramoni M. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
65', Cuadrado J. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
65', Marin M. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
75', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
81', Isaksen G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
82', Pedro 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).

Pisa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lazio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lazio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Thigh Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Knee Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Knee Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Tavares N. (Calf Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pisa - Verona	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bologna - Pisa	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLTL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWL

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