Match Info

Serie A - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
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Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
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Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Parma		Bologna

	1	X	2
	4.75	3	1.95	Watch
	4.45	3.15	1.98	Watch
	4.13	3.09	2.06	Watch
	4.87	3.08	2
	4.2	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.79)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
21.4%

Draw
31.3%

Bologna
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

31.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

31.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Parma - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 8 - 12.5%). Bologna will win (votes: 44 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 57.4% – 80.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Parma (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Bologna (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (21 of 27 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Bologna (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 5. Valenti L. 24. Ordonez C. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 8. Estevez N. 27. Britschgi S. 9. Pellegrino M. 7. Benedyczak A.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 2. Holm E. 26. Lucumi J. 14. Heggem T. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. (C) 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
19. Begic T. 75. Cardinali A. 78. Ciardi A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 3. Ndiaye A. 65. Plicco E. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.	10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 77. Sulemana I. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Bernabe A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Castro S. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
24', Estevez N. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
28', Ordonez C. 🟨,
35', Ordonez C. 🟨,
40', Circati A. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
61', Castro S. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Castro S. ⚽,
72', Castro S. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
72', Odgaard J. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
78', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
78', Britschgi S. ↓, Hernani ↑,
78', Benedyczak A. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
79', Valenti L. 🟨,
82', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
82', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
87', Cambiaghi N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Miranda J. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Parma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bologna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury) Valeri E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Keita M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Parma - Como	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	FCSB - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Bologna - Pisa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.02.25	Parma - Bologna	2:0
06.10.24	Bologna - Parma	0:0
07.02.21	Parma - Bologna	0:3
28.09.20	Bologna - Parma	4:1
12.07.20	Parma - Bologna	2:2
24.11.19	Bologna - Parma	2:2
13.05.19	Bologna - Parma	4:1

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