Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)


	Ternana		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.2
	3.5	3.46	2.2
	3.41	3.6	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.77)	3.46 ↓ (3.72)	2.12 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
28.1%

Draw
27.3%

Parma
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Ternana - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 6. Dalle Mura C. 72. Amatucci L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 9. Raimondo A.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 3. Osorio Y. 39. Circati A. 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 27. Hernani 21. Partipilo A. 8. Estevez N. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
5. Boloca G. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 17. Favilli A. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Zoia R.	11. Begic T. 23. Camara D. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 98. Man D. 28. Mihaila V. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 30. Valenti L. 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Breda R.	Pecchia F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 3.

Recent matches Ternana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ternana won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Reggiana - Ternana	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Ternana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Cittadella - Parma	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1
11.02.23	Ternana - Parma	1:1
10.09.22	Parma - Ternana	2:3
19.02.22	Parma - Ternana	2:3
22.09.21	Ternana - Parma	3:1
01.05.18	Parma - Ternana	2:0
08.12.17	Ternana - Parma	1:1

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