Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Pisa		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	3	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.84	2.87	3.12
	7.30	1.39	4.82	Watch
	2.63	3.23	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.49)	2.69 ↓ (3.22)	3.4 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
29.4%

Draw
39.4%

Verona
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.3%	56.1%	14.6%

Pisa - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 12 - 30%). Verona will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 39. Albiol R. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 7. Leris M. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 3. Angori S. 18. Nzola M. 32. Moreo S.	1. Montipo L. (G) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 6. Valentini N. 70. Cham F. 8. Serdar S. (C) 63. Gagliardini R. 24. Bernede A. 3. Frese M. 17. Giovane 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 11. Cuadrado J. 44. Denoon D. 8. Hojholt M. 99. Lorran 9. Meister H. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 10. Tramoni M. 21. Vural I.	72. Ajayi J. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 7. Belghali R. 12. Bradaric D. 76. Castagnini M. (G) 23. Ebosse E. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Bernede A. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
61', Cham F. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
65', Akinsanmiro E. 🟨,
65', Marin M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
65', Leris M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
65', Angori S. ↓, Bonfanti G. ↑,
67', Orban G. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
67', Giovane ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
78', Piccinini G. 🟨,
79', Moreo S. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
85', Serdar S. ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
87', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
88', Frese M. 🟨,
90+4', Nunez U. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Pisa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Verona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Verona has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Thigh Injury) Stengs C. (Muscle Injury) Toure I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Verona: Al Musrati (Thigh Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Denoon D. (Illness)

There are questionable in Verona: Oyegoke D. (Foot Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Bologna - Pisa	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pisa - Udinese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.03.17	Verona - Pisa	1:1
25.10.16	Pisa - Verona	0:0

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