Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Roma		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.45	8.3	Watch
	1.42	4.5	9.4
	1.15	7.27	17.40	Watch
	1.44	4.49	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	5.01 ↑ (4.22)	10.48 ↑ (8.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
71.2%

Draw
19.5%

Verona
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

22.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

21.8%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	14.3%	4.1%

Roma - Verona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Roma (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Verona (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 17 - 81%). Verona (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 3. Angelino 7. Pellegrini Lo. 18. Soule M. 9. Dovbyk A.	1. Montipo L. (G) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 3. Frese M. 7. Belghali R. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 8. Serdar S. (C) 24. Bernede A. 12. Bradaric D. 17. Giovane 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	72. Ajayi J. 73. Al Musrati 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 76. Castagnini M. (G) 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 63. Gagliardini R. 20. Kastanos G. 92. Monticelli L. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
12', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
45', Nunez U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
53', Gagliardini R. 🟨,
59', Wesley Franca ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
59', Angelino ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
60', Dovbyk A. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
71', Ndicka E. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
74', Giovane ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Soule M. ⚽,
82', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
84', Nunez U. ↓, Bella-Kotchap A. ↑,
84', Bradaric D. ↓, Cham F. ↑,
90', Bernede A. ↓, Kastanos G. ↑,
90+1', Belghali R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.

Roma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Verona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Verona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Roma is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Harroui A. (Muscle Injury) Mosquera D. (Muscle Injury) Oyegoke D. (Inactive) Suslov T. (Knee Injury) Valentini N. (Thigh Injury)

We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Hellas Verona
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0 ✺
25.08.25	Udinese - Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.04.25	Roma - Verona	1:0
03.11.24	Verona - Roma	3:2
20.01.24	Roma - Verona	2:1
26.08.23	Verona - Roma	2:1
19.02.23	Roma - Verona	1:0
31.10.22	Verona - Roma	1:3
19.02.22	Roma - Verona	2:2

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