Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bologna		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.5
	1.68	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.71	3.75	5.72
	1.74	3.41	5.08	Watch
	1.76	3.81	5.42
	1.66	3.65	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.66 ↓ (3.93)	5.35 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bologna
56.1%

Draw
26.1%

Pisa
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

19.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	15%	0%

Bologna - Pisa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bologna (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 8. Freuler R. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 21. Vural I. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Leris M. 10. Tramoni M. 18. Nzola M.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 11. Rowe J. 41. Vitik M.	39. Albiol R. 3. Angori S. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 11. Cuadrado J. 8. Hojholt M. 99. Lorran 47. Mateus Lusuardi 72. Maucci G. 76. Mbambi J. 9. Meister H. 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Cambiaghi N. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
36', Toure I. 🟥,
38', 2 - 0, Moro N. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
46', Bonfanti G. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
46', Tramoni M. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
53', 4 - 0, Odgaard J. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
56', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
56', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
63', Vural I. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
71', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
72', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
75', Dallinga T. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
77', Nzola M. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
77', Leris M. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Bologna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pisa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Aebischer M. (Injury) Denoon D. (Illness) Esteves T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stengs C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bologna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bologna - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Bologna - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Lecce - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Milan - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLWL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pisa - Udinese	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Pisa - Bologna	0:3

Upcoming Matches