Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	16:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Bologna		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.5
	1.68	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.71	3.75	5.72
	1.74	3.41	5.08	Watch
	1.76	3.81	5.42
	1.66	3.65	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.66 ↓ (3.93)	5.35 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
56.1%

Draw
26.1%

Pisa
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

19.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	15%	0%

Bologna - Pisa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bologna (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 8. Freuler R. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 21. Vural I. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Leris M. 10. Tramoni M. 18. Nzola M.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 11. Rowe J. 41. Vitik M.	39. Albiol R. 3. Angori S. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 11. Cuadrado J. 8. Hojholt M. 99. Lorran 47. Mateus Lusuardi 72. Maucci G. 76. Mbambi J. 9. Meister H. 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Cambiaghi N. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
36', Toure I. 🟥,
38', 2 - 0, Moro N. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
46', Bonfanti G. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
46', Tramoni M. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
53', 4 - 0, Odgaard J. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
56', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
56', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
63', Vural I. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
71', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
72', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
75', Dallinga T. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
77', Nzola M. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
77', Leris M. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Bologna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pisa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Aebischer M. (Injury) Denoon D. (Illness) Esteves T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stengs C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bologna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bologna - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Bologna - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Lecce - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Milan - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLWL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pisa - Udinese	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Pisa - Bologna	0:3

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