Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Renate

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.4
	3.2	2.75	2.3
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.1	2.65	2.39
	3.27	2.82	2.5
	3.1	2.8	2.5
	2.95	3.13	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)	2.83 ↓ (2.91)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
29.3%

Draw
32.3%

Renate
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

31.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

23.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Pistoiese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Renate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.21	Pistoiese - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.21	Renate - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Renate - Olbia	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Giana Erminio - Renate	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	Alessandria - Renate	2:0 ✺
15.03.21	Renate - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Renate - Pistoiese	2:1
09.02.20	Renate - Pistoiese	1:0
25.09.19	Pistoiese - Renate	0:0
13.04.17	Renate - Pistoiese	0:1
03.12.16	Pistoiese - Renate	0:0

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