Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Platges de Calvià		Poblense

	1	X	2
	4	2.8	1.95
	3.95	2.75	2.05
	3.95	2.85	2.02
	3.95	2.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.45)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platges de Calvià
22.8%

Draw
32.4%

Poblense
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

31.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

31%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Platges de Calvià - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Platges de Calvià won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Poblense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Platges de Calvià won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.5:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Platges de Calvià won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
29.03.25	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	3:4 ✺
28.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWT
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
29.03.25	Constancia - Poblense	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Porreres - Poblense	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Poblense - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Portmany - Poblense	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Poblense - Manacor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0
26.05.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	2:1 ET
18.05.24	Platges de Calvià - Poblense	0:0
18.02.24	Platges de Calvià - Poblense	0:1
30.09.23	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0
15.01.23	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0
11.09.22	Platges de Calvià - Poblense	2:0

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