The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plaza Amador 39.9%
Draw 28.3%
Árabe Unido 31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Plaza Amador have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Árabe Unido have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 3.
Plaza Amador is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Árabe Unido is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Plaza Amador may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Amador has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:20 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plaza Amador against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Árabe Unido - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.