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Current Win Probability
Plaza Amador 55.4%
Draw 25.8%
Independiente de la Chorrera 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.7%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
27.9%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Amador's performance.
Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente de la Chorrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Amador that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente de la Chorrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plaza Amador - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Castaneda S. (G) 3. Cordoba O. 31. Davis E. 2. Sanchez A. 4. Sanchez J. 14. Knight A. 6. Lara J. 15. Murillo Y. 19. Quintero A. 13. Rose E. 7. Sanchez J.
5. Rodriguez A. (G) 3. Davis O. 13. Navarro R. 22. Ramirez S. 26. Berrocal O. 18. Garcia L. 8. Ramirez Y. 11. Valverde A. 19. Avila M. 28. Bonilla K. 23. Hurtado H.
Substitutes
23. Allen M. (G) 10. Buitrago R. 30. Cummings H. 5. Forero J. 37. Jones J. 29. Lopez O. 20. Murillo J. 11. Phillips R. 43. Taivez J. 25. Walder K.
10. Aguila R. 41. Altamirano A. 77. Avila V. 7. Caicedo A. 16. Daza C. 61. Mock D. (G) 47. Montero C. 15. Narvaez J. 2. Phillips K. 54. Torres A. M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Murillo Y. ⚽,
36', Navarro R. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Murillo Y. 🟨,
63', Murillo Y. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
63', Bonilla K. ↓, Avila V. ↑,
63', Valverde A. ↓, Altamirano A. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Rose E. ⚽,
70', Lara J. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
79', Quintero A. ↓, Phillips R. ↑,
79', Knight A. ↓, Taivez J. ↑,
79', Rose E. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
82', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', 4 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
88', Ramirez Y. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
89', Berrocal O. ↓, Montero C. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 1.
Plaza Amador has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Independiente is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Independiente has had a series of home games.
In this match, Plaza Amador is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Amador won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
Panama
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Castaneda S. (G) 
Garcia L. 
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