Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.10	3.90
	1.82	3.15	3.9
	1.88	3.34	4.1
	1.91	3.41	3.97	Watch
	1.84	3.25	3.7
	1.8	3.2	4.17
	1.83	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)	3.24 ↓ (3.64)	3.94 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
49.1%

Draw
28%

Paysandú
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Plaza Colonia - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Paysandú could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Plaza Colonia for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plaza Colonia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Paysandú - La Luz	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1

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