Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)


	Peterborough United		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.45	3.55	1.98	Watch
	3.7	3.71	2.02
	3.05	3.37	2.25	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.47	3.66	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.45)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	2.03 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
27.4%

Draw
26.4%

Bradford City
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	9.5%	85.7%

Peterborough United - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Bradford will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 70.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Peterborough (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bradford (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Reyes V. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 26. Okagbue D. 15. Nevett G. 33. Dornelly J. 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 17. Lisbie K. 7. Lolos K. 10. Odoh A. 19. Lindgren G.	1. Walker S. (G) 28. Pennington M. 26. Tilt C. 15. Baldwin A. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 32. Lapslie G. 3. Touray I. 17. Wright T. 16. Pattison A. 24. Swan W.
Substitutes
11. Frith D. 28. Garbett M. 18. Hayes C. 9. Ihionvein B. 32. Lees T. 23. Mills H. 31. Smith B. (G)	25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 18. Kelly C. 20. Leigh T. 21. Metcalfe J. 23. Pointon B. 10. Sarcevic A.
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Collins A. 🟨,
34', Baldwin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Swan W. ⚽, Lapslie G. (A),
64', Pattison A. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
64', Lapslie G. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
67', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
67', Odoh A. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
67', Dornelly J. ↓, Mills H. ↑,
67', Lolos K. ↓, Garbett M. ↑,
78', Wright T. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
79', Khela B. ↓, Ihionvein B. ↑,
88', Power M. ↓, Metcalfe J. ↑,
89', Swan W. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Hayes C. ⚽, Frith D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.

Peterborough is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bradford is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bradford could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Bass A. (Foot Injury) Garbett M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lees T. (Knee Injury) Woods B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Knee Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive) Wright J. (Eye injury)

We predict that Bradford will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Bradford City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
19.08.25	Peterborough United - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Peterborough United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Cardiff City - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bradford City
English League One
19.08.25	Stockport County - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bradford City - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Northampton Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Bradford City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.03.19	Bradford City - Peterborough United	3:1
English FA Cup
11.12.18	Bradford City - Peterborough United	4:5 penalties
01.12.18	Peterborough United - Bradford City	2:2
English League One
17.11.18	Peterborough United - Bradford City	1:1
26.12.17	Bradford City - Peterborough United	1:3
09.09.17	Peterborough United - Bradford City	1:3
04.03.17	Bradford City - Peterborough United	1:0

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