Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.77	3.4	5
				Watch
				Watch
	1.8	3.3	5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)	3.4 ↑ (3.39)	5 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
53.3%

Draw
27.8%

Sheffield Wednesday
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Burnley - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 29. Laurent J. 24. Cullen J. (C) 22. Edwards M. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Beadle J. (G) 27. Valery Y. 20. Ihiekwe M. 3. Lowe M. 18. Johnson M. 10. Bannan B. (C) 44. Charles S. 40. Armstrong S. 41. Gassama D. 24. Smith M. 11. Windass J.
Substitutes
35. Barnes A. 8. Brownhill J. 17. Foster L. 32. Hladky V. (G) 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 7. Sarmiento J. 26. Shelvey J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.	4. Chalobah N. 47. Charles P. (G) 16. Cissoko I. 19. Hatsuse R. 8. Ingelsson S. 33. Otegbayo G. 13. Paterson C. 12. Ugbo I. 14. Valentin P.
Coaches
Parker S.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Johnson M. 🟨,
30', Lucas Pires 🟨,
43', Windass J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Edwards M. ⚽, Cullen J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Johnson M. ↓, Otegbayo G. ↑,
50', Charles S. 🟨,
61', Flemming Z. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
61', Mejbri H. ↓, Brownhill J. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
64', Laurent J. 🟨,
67', Armstrong S. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
67', Smith M. ↓, Ugbo I. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Roberts C. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
78', Windass J. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
78', Bannan B. ↓, Ingelsson S. ↑,
79', Gassama D. 🟨,
80', Edwards M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
80', Laurent J. ↓, Shelvey J. ↑,
85', Anthony J. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 0, Manuel Hedilazio B. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
90+7', Manuel Hedilazio B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2.

Burnley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Famewo A. (Muscle Injury) Musaba A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Koleosho L. (Knock)

There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Iorfa D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Burnley won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
15.02.25	Preston North End - Burnley	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Burnley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Southampton - Burnley	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.02.25	Burnley - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Portsmouth - Burnley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWT
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
15.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Swansea City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.10.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	0:2
02.02.16	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	1:1
12.09.15	Burnley - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1
English League Cup
26.08.14	Burnley - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1
English League Championship
18.01.14	Burnley - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
10.08.13	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	1:2
01.01.13	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	0:2

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