The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 54%
Draw 24.4%
Accrington Stanley 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
25.9%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
25.2%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
6.2%
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).
Plymouth has the most likely position - 2 (14.1%), has project points - 86, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (13%).
Accrington has the most likely position - 18 (7.78%), has project points - 55, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality22, importance33, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 3.
Plymouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Accrington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Plymouth to win the game is with odds 1.74.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
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