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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Parkway 32.5%
Draw 28.2%
Basingstoke Town 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
25.3%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24.7%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.
Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basingstoke Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Plymouth Parkway - Basingstoke Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 16).
Plymouth Parkway is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Basingstoke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Plymouth Parkway may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Plymouth Parkway
9
6
2
1
23:8
15
20
17
Basingstoke
9
2
3
4
14:16
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.6%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.