Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Pniówek Pawłowice		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.78
	5.9	4.48	1.4
	3.81	3.60	1.81	Watch
	3.91	3.6	1.77	Watch
	4.35	4.35	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.85)	3.91 ↑ (3.53)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pniówek Pawłowice
21.2%

Draw
23.6%

Lechia Zielona Góra
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pniówek Pawłowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pniówek Pawłowice than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Olek K. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Wiecek D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 3, Mycan P. ⚽,
82', 0 - 4, Zientarski M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pniówek Pawłowice won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pniówek Pawłowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zielona Góra is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pniówek Pawłowice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pniówek Pawłowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Pniówek Pawłowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Kluczbork	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWT
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.03.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1
31.08.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	4:1
01.06.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:2
11.11.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1
03.06.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	2:3
05.11.22	Pniówek Pawłowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:3
09.04.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1

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