Match Info

Division 2 - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Nowy Targ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.42	3.39	2.82
	2.42	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.34	3.28	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	2.72 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
38.5%

Draw
28%

Warta Poznań
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Podhale Nowy Targ - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Podhale will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Warta will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (G) 20. Chojecki A. 99. Giel P. 87. Kurzeja B. 15. Lelito B. 42. Lipien M. 19. Michota M. 23. Mikolajczyk B. 27. Pena C. 2. Salak K. 21. Vosko P.	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 2. Lepczynski K. 3. Michalski S. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K.
Substitutes
77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 14. Hamed M. 30. Kumorek M. 29. Marcinho 10. Nowak A. 16. Rubis J. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R.	35. Jakubowski F. 16. Kornobis I. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski P. 9. Stanek M. 71. Steblecki S. 11. Tonder F. 7. Walus F. 21. Zylla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Lipien M. ⚽,
37', Rychert K. 🟨,
37', Michota M. 🟨,
43', Lipien M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Smoczynski M. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
55', Giel P. 🟥,
58', Kumoch K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
58', Lipien M. ↓, Seweryn L. ↑,
63', Rychert K. ↓, Kornobis I. ↑,
63', Szymanek K. ↓, Stanek M. ↑,
72', Michota M. ↓, Kumorek M. ↑,
72', Chojecki A. ↓, Vaclavik R. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Stanek M. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Steblecki S. ⚽,
83', Lelito B. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
83', Pena C. ↓, Hamed M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Kornobis I. (Own goal),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

In recent matches, Podhale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Podhale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Warta Poznań - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
17.05.26	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
17.05.26	KKS Kalisz - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Warta Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Hutnik - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.11.25	Warta Poznań - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0

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