Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.00	3.30	2.15
	3.15	3.35	2.1
	3.5	3.51	2.1
	3.16	3.44	2.19	Watch
	3.4	3.45	2.07
	3.26	3.48	2.1
	3.05	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	3.39 ↓ (3.51)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
28.8%

Draw
27.2%

ŁKS Łódź
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski K. (G) 17. Niewiadomski J. 3. Dembek B. 2. Glogowski K. 27. Konstantyn J. 23. Ciepiela B. 14. Uzoigwe H. 21. Los K. (C) 42. Zbrog J. 9. Majewski R. 20. Oshafi A.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Falowski K. 22. Craciun A. (C) 4. Farbiszewski B. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Hinokio K. 28. Kaput M. 10. Strzalek I. 11. Blachewicz M. 33. Szczygiel L. 13. Podlinski K.
Substitutes
5. Dias M. 25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 99. Koprowski O. 6. Krupa J. 4. Ruszkiewicz M. 19. Turski H.	9. Arasa A. 1. Bomba L. (G) 38. Karasinski S. 21. Kupczak M. 19. Nowakowski K. 6. Rudol S. 18. Siwek A. 7. Sokol D. 20. Wysokinski M.
Coaches
Kafarski T.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Majewski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szczygiel L. ↓, Arasa A. ↑,
46', Blachewicz M. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
46', Keiblinger J. ↓, Sokol D. ↑,
53', Glogowski K. 🟨,
57', Craciun A. 🟨,
57', Craciun A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
62', Hinokio K. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Ciepiela B. ⚽,
71', Hinokio K. ↓, Wysokinski M. ↑,
71', Kaput M. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
77', Konstantyn J. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
77', Majewski R. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
83', Ciepiela B. ↓, Ruszkiewicz M. ↑,
90+2', Sokol D. 🟨,
90+5', Zbrog J. ↓, Koprowski O. ↑,
90+5', Oshafi A. ↓, Turski H. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ŁKS has had a run of games away from home.

ŁKS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Grodzisk Mazowiecki has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grodzisk Mazowiecki against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 8.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

ŁKS Łódź - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
13.09.26	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTT
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
11.09.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Odra Opole - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2
29.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	3:0

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