The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Siedlce 27%
Draw 28.3%
Arka Gdynia 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.6%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
25.3%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 29. Trepka L. 26. Kendzia F. 4. Szur P. 2. Mis K. 21. Kobusinski S. 16. Poczobut B. 31. Dzieciol E. 56. Demianiuk C. (C) 17. Marzec M. 9. Rosolek M.
33. Grobelny J. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. 14. Kun D. 23. Lewkot S. 71. Kowalski J. 77. Walus F. 9. Gutkovskis V. (C) 17. Dziegielewski N.
Substitutes
27. Barczak J. 14. Jakubik D. 6. Kizyma M. 22. Klimek P. 10. Makowski R. 47. Swierczewski B. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.
28. Ambrosiewicz M. 99. Arndt D. (G) 72. Demirovic E. 90. Krefft P. 6. Lipkowski K. 39. Milewski M. 98. Rama E. 16. Solecki K. 80. Zacharewicz W.
Coaches
Nocon A.
Jarolim M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Rosolek M. ⚽, Mis K. (A),
42', Kobusinski S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Gruszkowski K. ⚽, Szota S. (A),
45+1', Komenda M. ↓, Ambrosiewicz M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kowalski J. ↓, Solecki K. ↑,
51', Gruszkowski K. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Kobusinski S. ⚽, Trepka L. (A),
72', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rama E. ↑,
72', Gruszkowski K. ↓, Milewski M. ↑,
77', Marzec M. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
77', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
83', Dziegielewski N. ↓, Krefft P. ↑,
87', Kobusinski S. ↓, Szczytniewski S. ↑,
90+1', Lewkot S. 🟨,
90+1', Rosolek M. ↓, Klimek P. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 0.
Pogoń Siedlce has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pogoń Siedlce could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arka holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Siedlce has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:17 (averaging 1.3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Siedlce against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 2.3:2.3 per game).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Arka Gdynia: 4.05% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Pogon Siedlce
8
3
3
2
9:7
2
12
12
Arka Gdynia
9
3
2
4
11:11
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Arka Gdynia - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Lemanowicz J. (G) 
Komenda M. 
Gutkovskis V. (C) 
Demirovic E. 
Rama E. 
Jarolim M. 
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