Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)


	Pogoń Siedlce		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.41	2.07
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.4	3.44	2.02	Watch
	3.85	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (4.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	2.01 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
26.6%

Draw
27.6%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

26.2%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Kowynia J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 24. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 11. Hrnciar L. 6. Mis K. 9. Nowak D. (C) 26. Okusami J. 19. Pyrdol P. 99. Wicenciak B.	1. Lukac P. (G) 79. Abate L. 4. Chlumecky M. 6. Hlavica J. 32. Kisiel J. 17. Milasius T. 23. Misztal M. 11. Perosevic A. 8. Stryjewski Mi. 77. Tomasik P. (C) 2. Ziolkowski M.
Substitutes
29. Babor D. 12. Burek J. (G) 23. Derlatka H. 15. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 4. Misiak P. 98. Myszkowski O. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.	9. Banaszewski M. 7. Bida B. 30. Jodlowiec T. 20. Kadric H. 89. Mikolajewski D. 95. Procek P. (G) 24. Sitek M. 14. Stryjewski Ma. 55. Willman M.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pogoń Siedlce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Podbeskidzie will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3 ✺
20.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	0:4 ✺
02.09.23	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWTW
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
25.09.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
Polish Division 1
15.04.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0
16.09.17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
17.05.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0
22.10.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0

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