Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pogoń Szczecin		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.60	Watch
	1.95	3.50	3.60
	2.02	3.55	3.35
	1.99	3.66	3.98
	2.05	3.57	3.58	Watch
	1.93	3.60	3.90
	1.95	3.70	3.70	Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.76)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
47.9%

Draw
26.2%

Motor Lublin
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 4. Leo Borges 35. Wojciechowski M. (C) 16. Dziczek P. 8. Ulvestad F. 7. Juwara M. 18. Mukairu P. 21. Churlinov D.	71. Popa M. (G) 29. Santos T. 18. Bereszynski B. 4. Plavotic T. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 8. Kikis 6. Legowski M. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Czubak K. (C)
Substitutes
3. Acosta K. 15. Ali H. 6. Bieganski J. 10. Cuic F. 30. Czaplinski J. 11. Grosicki K. 83. Holewinski A. (G) 47. Lawa N. 23. Mendy B. 19. Ndiaye M. 17. Nsame J. 29. Willen L.	70. Aiko M. 5. Akatov A. 39. Bartos M. 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 99. Kukulski P. (G) 16. Lewandowski F. 17. Lukoszek K. 2. Meyer P. 33. Tratnik G. (G)
Coaches
Garcia O.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Churlinov D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Szalai At. ⚽, Wahlqvist L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
57', Churlinov D. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
59', Plavotic T. 🟨,
65', Santos T. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
66', Leo Borges ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
68', Fabio Ronaldo 🟨,
77', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
80', Juwara M. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
80', Mukairu P. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
82', Kikis ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
82', Bourhane Y. ↓, Gregorski D. ↑,
84', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Aiko M. ⚽, Gregorski D. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Acosta K. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pogoń Szczecin could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Botis N. (Inactive) Molnar R. (Knee Injury) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 1.66% Motor Lublin: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 50.31%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Sturm Graz - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.26	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Motor Lublin - Warta Poznań	4:1 ✺
27.06.26	Motor Lublin - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
26.07.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	4:1
14.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	3:0
02.11.24	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2

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