Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.02	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.76	3.3
	2.69	2.85	2.88	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	2.13	3.44	3.24	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	3.27 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44.2%

Draw
27.3%

Chrobry Głogów
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Chrobry will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 6. Farbiszewski B. 16. Gajgier A. 52. Olewinski O. 77. Adkonis J. 21. Los K. (C) 31. Staniszewski J. 20. Wypart O. 71. Szczepaniak M. 19. Adamski R.	99. Arndt D. (G) 29. Tupaj P. 18. Mazur M. 8. Gric J. 80. Tabis K. 30. Bartlewicz S. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 17. Ibe-Torti K. 27. Laskowski K. 7. Bonecki S. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
9. Gieroba S. 80. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. 92. Krupa J. 13. Lis J.	24. Grzelak K. 10. Janczukowicz P. 21. Kozajda M. 13. Kuzdra J. 95. Lenarcik P. (G) 15. Nowakowski K. 9. Ozimek M. 96. Szarek P. 92. Tworzydlo A.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Becella L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Tabis K. 🟨,
41', Bonecki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Staniszewski J. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
46', Olewinski O. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Laskowski K. ⚽, Bartlewicz S. (A),
67', Laskowski K. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
67', Wypart O. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
67', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
67', Strozik S. ↓, Janczukowicz P. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Jaron D. ⚽,
84', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
84', Bonecki S. ↓, Grzelak K. ↑,
86', Tabis K. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
90+1', Kargulewicz K. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Chrobry has had a series of home games.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Chrobry Głogów - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków	4:1 ✺
10.08.25	Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWT
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
20.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWTL

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