Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 32

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Szczecinie (Szczecin)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Pogoń Szczecin		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7	Watch
	1.36	5	7.75
	1.38	4.75	7.85
	1.34	5.29	9.67
	1.33	4.4	8	Watch
	1.35	5.05	8.4	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.82 ↑ (4.2)	8.12 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
69.1%

Draw
19.4%

Miedź Legnica
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21.5%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	10.5%	21.1%

Pogoń Szczecin - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Miedź will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pogoń Szczecin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Miedź is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Miedź could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Szczecin to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.05.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec	4:2 ✺
15.04.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.05.23	Miedź Legnica - Widzew Łódź	0:1 ✺
01.05.23	Cracovia - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
28.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Szczecin	2:4
25.11.18	Pogoń Szczecin - Miedź Legnica	2:0
20.07.18	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0

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