Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Police FC		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.58	2.42
	3.39	2.57	2.38
	2.76	2.86	2.62	Watch
	3.23	2.63	2.43
	2.8	2.75	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.76)	2.68 ↓ (2.79)	2.48 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
29.5%

Draw
33.9%

Gor Mahia
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Police FC - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Oluoch F. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Musa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 2.

Police has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gor Mahia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gor Mahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Police won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
05.11.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.10.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Police FC	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Police FC - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
05.10.25	APS Bomet - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLLW
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.12.24	Police FC - Gor Mahia	1:0
03.02.24	Police FC - Gor Mahia	3:1
05.11.23	Gor Mahia - Police FC	0:0
22.04.23	Police FC - Gor Mahia	0:1
25.02.23	Gor Mahia - Police FC	2:1
13.03.22	Gor Mahia - Police FC	0:2
06.11.21	Police FC - Gor Mahia	1:1

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