Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Kluczevia Stargard

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	3.70
	1.65	3.85	3.9
	1.79	3.64	3.4
	1.75	3.99	3.68	Watch
	1.75	3.55	3.3
	1.73	3.76	3.77	Watch
	1.83	3.55	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)	3.58 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
51.3%

Draw
23.8%

Kluczevia Stargard
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

23.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Mikita P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, De Amo J. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Division 2 and 3rd).

Środa Wielkopolska has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kluczevia Stargard has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Środa Wielkopolska is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Środa Wielkopolska has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Środa Wielkopolska against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	12	9	3	0	35:16	19	30
3	Kluczevia Stargard	11	6	1	4	19:18	1	19

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.35%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTWT
- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Kluczevia Stargard	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2
07.11.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4
27.04.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	0:2
18.09.21	Kluczevia Stargard - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide