Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.9
	1.97	3.7	3.1
	1.99	3.94	3.01
	1.98	3.68	3.1	Watch
	1.97	3.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.76)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	3.04 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
45.8%

Draw
24.4%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lidzbark Warmiński is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lidzbark Warmiński won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
30.04.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:1

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