Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pompei		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.35	2.28
	2.73	3.45	2.29	Watch
	2.77	3.32	2.28
	2.71	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	2.28 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pompei
33.4%

Draw
26.9%

Sarnese
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pompei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pompei than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Pompei - Sarnese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarnese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

In recent matches, Pompei has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarnese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pompei
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Pompei - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Virtus Francavilla - Pompei	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pompei - Acerrana	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Heraclea - Pompei	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTWL
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Francavilla - Sarnese	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sarnese - Acerrana	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTW

Pompei - Sarnese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pompei - Sarnese Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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