The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tenerife 62.4%
Draw 25%
Ponferradina 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
24%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
23.1%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Tenerife - Ponferradina Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 19. Alvarez C. 20. Manjam A. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 10. Gil N. 9. de Miguel J. 18. Enric (C)
1. Prieto A. (C) 21. Moreno D. 3. Novoa G. 2. Andujar D. 19. Lopez A. 11. Mula A. 16. Frimpong E. 6. San Emeterio F. 18. Vazquez B. 7. Sergio Benito 20. Ferrer P.
Substitutes
17. Balde M. 5. Calavera J. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 16. Sanz A. 27. Ulloa A. 3. Zoilo A.
8. Aguilar Elizalde E. 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 17. Keita A. 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 4. Moltenis B. 15. Sousa V. 5. Undabarrena E. 10. Valle B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Moltenis B. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
66', Mula A. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
66', Sergio Benito ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
73', Ferrer P. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
78', Manjam A. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
79', Enric 🟨,
81', Moreno D. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
83', de Miguel J. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
83', Fabricio ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Enric ⚽,
90+7', Enric ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
90+7', Gil N. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
90+11', 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 3.
Tenerife is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ponferradina is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Tenerife is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.4:0.3).
Spain
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Martin D. (G) 
Landazuri A. 
Fabricio 
Frimpong E. 
Kysil V. 
Moltenis B. 
Sousa V. 
