Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.39	3.9	7.5
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.42	4.35	9
	1.43	4.36	7.43
	1.41	4.05	8.2
	1.4	3.95	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.07 ↑ (4)	8.03 ↓ (9.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
65.9%

Draw
22.7%

Teruel
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

22.6%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

21.7%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Ponferradina - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (C) 17. Carrique T. 22. Andujar D. 4. Sibille K. 19. Lopez A. 21. Cabanzon Y. 8. Llonch P. 12. Claveria P. 14. Cerda J. 5. Longo S. 9. Borja V.	1. Konate T. (G) 15. Sanchis V. 20. Sierra I. 4. Cabetas E. (C) 5. Gaixas A. 23. Pascual A. 30. Alastuey J. 14. Castillo N. 8. Tena 11. Martinez B. 19. Villanueva D.
Substitutes
18. Abelenda B. 27. Costa A. 2. Diez A. 7. Gomez E. 6. Igbekeme J. 20. Javi Lancho 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 16. Lozano M. 23. Prendes M. 10. Yuri	7. Ahn June Hyuk 10. Aparicio D. 21. Facu 18. Gabarre A. 3. Hualde J. 24. Lainez Alhajas E. (G) 9. Naranjo G. 17. Neskes 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 6. Romero B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Gaixas A. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Cabanzon Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castillo N. ↓, Neskes ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Neskes ⚽,
49', 🟨,
58', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Diez A. ↑,
58', Longo S. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
63', Alastuey J. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
69', Villanueva D. ↓, Naranjo G. ↑,
70', Konate T. ↓, Lainez Alhajas E. ↑,
72', Claveria P. ↓, Yuri ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Tena ↓, Facu ↑,
86', Cerda J. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Teruel is Relegated to

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Ponferradina is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.05.24	Sabadell - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Cornellà - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLT
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.05.24	Teruel - Osasuna B	2:3 ✺
12.05.24	Leonesa - Teruel	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Teruel - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Fuenlabrada - Teruel	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Teruel - Sestao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.23	Teruel - Ponferradina	0:2

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