Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Sabadell		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.3	2.95	3.25
	2.38	3	3.25
	2.39	3	3.19
	2.32	3.01	3.14
	2.26	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.41)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
39.8%

Draw
31.1%

Ponferradina
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sabadell - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortola A. (G) 11. Astals D. 6. Calavera J. 5. Resta P. 4. Pujol R. 27. Saez M. 12. Domenech M. 18. Salvador C. 21. Maestre S. 19. Garcia N. 17. Kopotun V.	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 22. Andujar D. 15. Leal A. 19. Lopez A. 21. Cabanzon Y. 16. Lozano M. (C) 6. Igbekeme J. 5. Longo S. 9. Borja V.
Substitutes
14. Baselga M. 30. Bonet N. 3. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 32. Font J. 8. Gualda A. 1. Leal F. (G) 9. Martinez M. 31. Morcillo J. R. 23. Soto D.	18. Abelenda B. 14. Cerda J. 27. Costa A. 2. Diez A. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 26. Klein J. 23. Prendes M. 10. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Salvador C. ↓, Gualda A. ↑,
8', Astals D. 🟨,
21', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Garcia N. 🟨,
54', Longo S. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
62', Leal A. 🟨,
64', Sibille K. 🟨,
64', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
68', Saez M. ↓, Baselga M. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Resta P. ⚽,
73', Calavera J. 🟨,
80', Borja V. ↓, Prendes M. ↑,
80', Igbekeme J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
90+4', Garcia N. ↓, Soto D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 3.

Sabadell is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sabadell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.24	Tarazona - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sabadell	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Osasuna B - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.05.24	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Cornellà - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ponferradina - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.09.23	Ponferradina - Sabadell	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Sabadell - Ponferradina	2:0
01.11.20	Ponferradina - Sabadell	0:3
22.02.15	Ponferradina - Sabadell	3:0
20.09.14	Sabadell - Ponferradina	1:0
26.01.14	Sabadell - Ponferradina	1:1
25.08.13	Ponferradina - Sabadell	2:0

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