Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Ponte Preta		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.25
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.53	2.96	2.43
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.35	2.97	2.34	Watch
	3.2	3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.13)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)	2.32 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
28.5%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Goianiense
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

31.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	20%	53.3%

Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caique Franca (C) 14. Luiz Felipe 3. Thiago Lopes 13. Thomas 15. Artur 6. Filipinho 5. Leo Naldi 8. Felipe Amaral 7. Mailton 9. Pereira Silva E. C. 19. Jeh	1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Alix 6. Lucas Esteves 5. Matheus Sales 8. Rhaldney 10. Dodo 7. Kelvin 9. Gustavo Coutinho 11. Luiz Fernando
Substitutes
4. de Morae E. R. G. 10. Elvis 18. Fraga 77. Igor Torres 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 20. Lucas Nathan 11. Pablo Dyego 16. Paulo Baya 22. Paul Villero 17. Samuel 21. Tales 23. Weverton	20. Airton 12. Diego Loureiro (G) 15. Heron 14. Igor Ribeiro 17. Marcos Serrato 18. Matheus Peixoto 21. Matheus Regis 16. Renato 13. Rodrigo Soares 19. Shaylon
Coaches
Brigatti J.	Ventura J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.

Ponte Preta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético GO is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético GO will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton (Injury) Jean Carlos (Injury) Pablo Dyego (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.23	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	3:3 ✺
30.09.23	ABC - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	0:3 ✺
15.09.23	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLTT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ituano	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0
14.10.19	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	0:0
16.07.19	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
04.09.18	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	2:0
19.05.18	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	1:3
Brazilian Serie A
16.09.17	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	1:3
08.06.17	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	3:0

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