Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3	2.95
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.47	3.1	3.25
	2.42	2.99	3.15	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3
	2.37	3.15	3.07	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.14)	3.07 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Paysandu
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Ponte Preta - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rocha (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 4. Mateus Silva 44. Nilson Junior 33. Risso G. 15. Castro 8. Emerson Santos 10. Elvis (C) 11. Iago Dias 35. Gabriel Novaes 19. Renato	13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 4. Wanderson 27. Lucas Maia 21. Bryan 35. Luan Freitas 8. Joao Vieira 20. Robinho (C) 9. Paulinho Boia 26. Ruan Ribeiro 24. Borasi B.
Substitutes
7. Dodo 29. Everton Brito 23. Haquin L. 5. Heitor Roca 80. Hudson 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 77. Matheus Regis 70. Portuga G. 6. Sergio Raphael 20. Vasconcelos J. 12. William (G)	12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Garcia E. 22. Jean Dias 14. Juninho 36. Kevyn 28. Leandro Vilela 38. Matheus Trindade 5. Netinho 11. Nicolas 3. Quintana Y. 30. Val Soares
Coaches
Santana N.	Marcio Fernandes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Lucas Maia 🟨,
29', Iago Dias 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Mateus Silva ⚽, Luiz Felipe (A),
38', 1 - 1, Borasi B. ⚽, Bryan (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Edilson ↓, Kevyn ↑,
46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
46', Iago Dias ↓, Dodo ↑,
46', Mateus Silva ↓, Haquin L. ↑,
52', Risso G. 🟥,
54', Elvis ↓, Heitor Roca ↑,
63', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Nicolas ↑,
63', Robinho ↓, Netinho ↑,
71', Paulinho Boia ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
79', Luan Freitas ↓, Leandro Vilela ↑,
80', Renato ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Garcia E. ⚽, Borasi B. (A),

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Paysandu: Edinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos (Injury)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Keffel (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.24	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
23.10.24	Ponte Preta - Brusque	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Ponte Preta - Guarani	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ceará - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.24	Ceará - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Paysandu - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	Paysandu - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.07.24	Paysandu - Ponte Preta	1:0
07.08.18	Paysandu - Ponte Preta	0:4
14.04.18	Ponte Preta - Paysandu	0:1

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