Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	Paysandu		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.6	4.6
	1.76	3.77	4.77
	1.74	3.63	4.68	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.74	3.6	4.79	Watch
	1.74	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	4.68 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
53.7%

Draw
26.2%

Chapecoense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Paysandu - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 3. Quintana Y. 4. Luan Freitas 94. Patric Calmon 96. Matheus Vargas 27. Ramon Martinez 8. Andre Lima 77. Rossi 11. Nicolas (C) 20. Marlon Douglas	12. Leo Vieira (G) 22. Mailton 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 4. Joao Paulo 37. Clar W. 16. Bruno Matias 99. Rafael Carvalheira 25. Victor Caetano 27. Eduardo Person 77. Italo 9. Mario Sergio
Substitutes
9. Benitez J. 24. Borasi B. 21. Bryan 32. Cavalleri M. 15. Dudu Vieira 22. Eliel 6. Espinoza J. 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 10. Giovanni 30. Marcelinho 5. Novillo J. 16. Reverson	3. Eduardo Doma 26. Everton 11. Getulio 5. Jorge Jimenez 90. Mailson 6. Mancha 95. Marcinho 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 30. Thomas Bedinelli
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Joao Paulo 🟨,
16', Rafael Carvalheira 🟨,
18', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Mailton ⚽, Rafael Carvalheira (A),
35', 0 - 2, Joao Paulo ⚽,
40', Quintana Y. ↓, Eliel ↑,
45+4', Andre Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Paulo ↓, Eduardo Doma ↑,
46', Andre Lima ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
46', Rossi ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
65', Matheus Vargas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
66', Marlon Douglas ↓, Giovanni ↑,
68', Eduardo Person ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
75', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Marcinho ↑,
75', Mailton ↓, Everton ↑,
90+1', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.

In this match Paysandu is a favorite.

There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn (Knee Injury) Nicolas (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.25	Vila Nova - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
09.04.25	Paysandu - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.25	Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
01.04.25	Paysandu - Águia de Marabá	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Paysandu - Capitão Poço	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.25	Chapecoense - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Chapecoense - Joinville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.10.24	Paysandu - Chapecoense	2:0
23.06.24	Chapecoense - Paysandu	1:2
24.09.13	Paysandu - Chapecoense	2:1
11.06.13	Chapecoense - Paysandu	3:2

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