Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 30

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno


	Pontedera		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.88	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.91	3.22	2.44
	2.84	3.21	2.36	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.3
	2.86	3.02	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.15)	3.09 ↓ (3.31)	2.36 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
32.2%

Draw
29.4%

Juventus U23
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Pontedera - Juventus U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Juventus U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pontedera (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontedera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Biagini V. (G) 3. Leo D. 94. Piana L. (C) 13. Sapola M. 23. Cerretti C. 8. Faggi F. 10. Kabashi E. 17. Vitali P. 25. Nabian H. 27. Raychev A. 45. Yeboah P.	22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 15. Savio F. 3. Gil J. 24. van Aarle S. 6. Mulazzi G. 5. Macca F. 16. Faticanti G. 8. Owusu A. 7. Puczka D. 17. Guerra S. (C) 9. Deme S.
Substitutes
32. Beghetto L. 16. Buffon L. 80. Caponi A. 7. Emmanuello S. 33. Fancelli A. 14. Manfredonia M. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 40. Saracco U. (G) 30. Strada N. (G) 11. Teixeira S. 26. Wagner G.	11. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 18. Brugarello M. 28. Bruno L. (G) 41. Cudrig N. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 32. Licina A. 30. Mazur P. 19. Oboavwoduo J. 26. Pagnucco F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Deme S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Macca F. 🟨,
54', Raychev A. ↓, Fancelli A. ↑,
66', Macca F. ↓, Mazur P. ↑,
67', Owusu A. ↓, Cudrig N. ↑,
70', Nabian H. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
77', Kabashi E. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
77', Faggi F. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
78', Deme S. ↓, Licina A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 3.

Pontedera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juventus U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventus U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pontedera - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Juventus U23 - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Forlì - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTLT
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
22.02.26	Campobasso - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ravenna - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Juventus U23 - Sambenedettese	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sassari Torres - Juventus U23	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Juventus U23 - Pineto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1
10.03.24	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	1:1
05.11.23	Pontedera - Juventus U23	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.21	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	1:1
20.12.20	Pontedera - Juventus U23	2:1
02.02.20	Pontedera - Juventus U23	0:0
22.09.19	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	1:1

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