Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Forlì		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.24	4.15
	1.84	3.44	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3	3.75
	1.9	3.36	4.09	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.29 ↓ (3.61)	3.92 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
48.6%

Draw
28%

Pontedera
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Forlì - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Forlì will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Forlì (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 2. Mandrelli N. 25. Elia M. 26. Palomba L. 24. Cavallini G. 32. Scaccabarozzi J. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 11. Farinelli N. 17. Trombetta M. 10. Macri D.	40. Saracco U. (G) 3. Leo D. 94. Piana L. 13. Sapola M. 23. Cerretti C. 14. Manfredonia M. 80. Caponi A. 27. Mbambi J. 28. Raychev A. 45. Yeboah P. 16. Buffon L.
Substitutes
15. Berti N. 1. Calvani S. (G) 30. Coveri V. 18. Giovannini A. 13. Greco G. 20. Ilari C. 36. Onofri M. 8. Ripani D. 33. Rossi D. 4. Saporetti L. 9. Selvini A. 14. Spinelli A. 12. Veliaj G. (G) 45. Zagre A.	32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 7. Emmanuello S. 8. Faggi F. 33. Fancelli A. 2. Giacomelli R. 21. Lugano T. 25. Nabian H. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 30. Strada N. (G) 17. Vitali P. 26. Wagner G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Scaccabarozzi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mbambi J. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
46', Manfredonia M. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
46', Raychev A. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
57', Mandrelli N. ↓, Onofri M. ↑,
65', Leo D. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
74', Trombetta M. 🟨,
77', Yeboah P. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
77', Macri D. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
81', Farinelli N. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
81', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Ilari C. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Ilari C. ⚽,
90+2', Nabian H. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Forlì is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Forlì won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Forli	10	2	5	3	16:16	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Forlì - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Vis Pesaro - Forlì	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gubbio - Forlì	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Campobasso - Pontedera	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pontedera - Pineto	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1
12.04.15	Forlì - Pontedera	2:1
29.11.14	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1

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