Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio


	Pontedera		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.2	1.8
	4.05	3.25	1.85
	4.68	3.35	1.81
	4.34	3.38	1.78	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.3	3.42	1.84	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.67)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
21.3%

Draw
28%

Ternana
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.5%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.6%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4%)

Pontedera - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Saracco U. (G) 13. Sapola M. 94. Piana L. 27. Mbambi J. 3. Leo D. 8. Faggi F. 7. Emanuello 26. Wagner G. 29. Sy S. 17. Vitali P. 16. Buffon L.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 13. Maestrelli A. 14. Meccariello B. 87. Martella B. 20. Donati F. (C) 23. Majer Z. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Garetto M. 32. Pettinari S. 9. Dubickas E.
Substitutes
32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 80. Caponi A. 23. Cerretti C. 33. Fancelli A. 2. Giacomelli R. 21. Lugano 14. Manfredonia M. 25. Nabian H. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 28. Raychev A. 30. Strada N. (G) 45. Yeboah P.	22. Aramu M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 27. Ferrante A. 17. Kerrigan L. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 8. McJannet E. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 3. Pagliari M. 18. Panico G. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pettinari S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wagner G. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
46', Vitali P. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
51', Caponi A. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Yeboah P. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Pettinari S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Yeboah P. ⚽,
60', Sy S. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
62', McJannet E. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
65', Paolieri L. 🟨,
67', McJannet E. 🟨,
72', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
83', Mbambi J. ↓, Cerretti C. ↑,
86', Pettinari S. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
86', Martella B. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Pontedera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ternana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ternana is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.26	Campobasso - Pontedera	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pontedera - Pineto	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.02.26	Ternana - Sassari Torres	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Carpi - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1
06.01.25	Ternana - Pontedera	0:0
30.08.24	Pontedera - Ternana	1:2
Club Friendly
22.07.22	Pontedera - Ternana	0:3
Coppa Italia
29.07.18	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 penalties

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