The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Ávila 16.1%
Draw 29%
Pontevedra 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
30.8%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
29.9%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Ávila's form might have worsened.
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Ávila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Ávila - Pontevedra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Rivas M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Chiqui ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Chiqui ⚽,
87', Cassio Junior 🟥,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Recent matches Real Ávila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pontevedra is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).