Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Valladolid B		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.71
	4.6	3.35	1.71
	4.46	3.36	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.76	3.52	1.7
	4.6	3.35	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.18)	3.36 ↑ (3.13)	1.73 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
20.1%

Draw
27.1%

Pontevedra
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid B's form might have worsened.

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valladolid B - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Samuel 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 1.

Valladolid B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontevedra in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pontevedra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Valladolid B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Real Ávila - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:3 ✺
23.11.24	Laredo - Valladolid B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTW
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Pontevedra - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Real Ávila - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Pontevedra - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Laredo - Pontevedra	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Pontevedra - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.09.24	Pontevedra - Valladolid B	1:0
21.01.24	Pontevedra - Valladolid B	3:1
09.09.23	Valladolid B - Pontevedra	1:1
03.02.19	Valladolid B - Pontevedra	1:0
16.09.18	Pontevedra - Valladolid B	1:1
22.04.18	Valladolid B - Pontevedra	1:2
26.11.17	Pontevedra - Valladolid B	1:1

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