Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Mexico	Sky Sport
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Usa	ESPN+


	Pontevedra		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.42	Watch
	6.75	4.75	1.44
	6.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.81	4.71	1.38
	7.26	4.77	1.39	Watch
	7	4.6	1.35
	7.4	4.8	1.42	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.09 ↓ (8.46)	4.68 ↑ (4.56)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
13.2%

Draw
20%

Villarreal
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

20.1%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

12.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Pontevedra - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vizoso M. (G) 2. Fontan J. 19. Garay B. 5. Gomez M. 23. Hernandez H. 14. Samuel 17. Dominguez Penin X. 10. Yelko Pino (C) 8. Novo I. 11. Chiqui 21. Charly	1. Junior Reis (G) 26. Navarro P. 5. Kambwala W. 2. Costa L. 12. Bernat J. 33. Cabanes P. 32. Diatta A. 10. Parejo D. 6. Suarez D. 7. Moreno G. (C) 15. Barry T.
Substitutes
7. Arnedo A. 28. Canosa Toscano S. 18. de Almeida D. 3. Irazu I. 27. Marques D. 22. Mezdrea R. 9. Sanchez R. 1. Sousa E. (G) 20. Suarez P.	3. Albiol R. 16. Baena A. 23. Cardona S. 14. Comesana S. 13. Conde D. (G) 28. Espigares A. 36. Etta Eyong 18. Gueye P. 17. Kiko Femenia 22. Perez A. 21. Pino Y.
Coaches
Iglesias S.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bernat J. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
56', Diatta A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
66', Hernandez H. ↓, Arnedo A. ↑,
66', Charly ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
67', Dominguez Penin X. ↓, de Almeida D. ↑,
67', Parejo D. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
68', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
77', Kambwala W. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
85', Yelko Pino ↓, Mezdrea R. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, de Almeida D. ⚽,

Preview

Pontevedra in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villarreal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarreal is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Pontevedra - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Llanera - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.11.24	Pontevedra - Levante	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.24	Pontevedra - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Coruxo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Villarreal - Girona	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Poblense - Villarreal	1:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Valladolid - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWWW

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