Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Faubourg de Verdun (Pontivy)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Pontivy		Bastia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	4.07	3.57	1.74
	3.64	3.57	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.6	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (5.84)	3.43 ↓ (4.39)	1.94 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontivy
25.3%

Draw
27%

Bastia
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.2%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontivy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontivy's performance.

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Pontivy - Bastia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pontivy (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontivy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Le Corvaisier K. (G) 5. Clemence T. 4. Le Callonnec A. 6. Jegat M. 2. Mangan C. 7. Liri K. 11. Laraba A. 8. Le Gal Y. (C) 3. Welsh S. 10. Et Touguani I. 9. Guimard H.	1. Olmeta L. (G) 2. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 3. Guevara J. 5. Bohnert F. 8. Karamoko I. 7. Petrignani M. 6. Ducrocq T. 10. Boutrah A. 11. Sebas J. 9. Tomi F.
Substitutes
12. Amayota E. 14. Camara P. 19. Faure L. 15. Gomis V. 17. Jestin M. 20. Le Goff E. 18. Le Nezet P. 13. Nkassa J. 16. Sogue M. (G)	20. Aiki A. 15. Ariss Z. 12. Basset D. 13. Beltaief Z. 19. Ble M. 14. Etoga L. 16. Fabri J. (G) 17. Vincent C. 18. Zaouai A.
Coaches
Masson F.	Ray R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Karamoko I. 🟨,
43', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Laraba A. 🟨,
66', Guimard H. ↓, Gomis V. ↑,
66', Laraba A. ↓, Nkassa J. ↑,
72', Bohnert F. ↓, Ariss Z. ↑,
72', Boutrah A. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
73', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Tomi F. ⚽,
81', Welsh S. ↓, Faure L. ↑,
84', Karamoko I. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
90+3', Guevara J. ↓, Basset D. ↑,
90+4', Ble M. 🟨,

Preview

Bastia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bastia is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSI Pontivy
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Challans - Pontivy	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Pontivy - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
06.01.19	Pontivy - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
08.12.18	Grand-Quevilly - Pontivy	1:2 ✺
03.12.16	Pontivy - Brest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLWL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	Bastia - Red Star	Abandoned ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Saint-Malo - Bastia	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
25.11.25	Bastia - Laval	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 T?WLL

Pontivy - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide