Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 32

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)

Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)


	Pontypridd United		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.78	2.91	2.62
	2.75	2.88	2.6
	2.74	3.04	2.63
	2.7	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.26)	2.99 ↑ (1.97)	2.57 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
33.6%

Draw
30.7%

Flint Town United
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

45.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

44.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontypridd United's performance.

Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Town United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontypridd United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pontypridd United - Flint Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flint Town is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontypridd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pontypridd have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.04.23	Caernarfon Town - Pontypridd United	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Haverfordwest County - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Airbus UK Broughton - Pontypridd United	0:3 ✺
18.03.23	Flint Town United - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWT
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.23	Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:3 ✺
14.04.23	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Flint Town United - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Aberystwyth Town - Flint Town United	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Flint Town United - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
18.03.23	Flint Town United - Pontypridd United	0:0
21.01.23	Flint Town United - Pontypridd United	4:1
13.08.22	Pontypridd United - Flint Town United	0:1

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