The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 28.7%
Draw 31.2%
Parma 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
30%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
22.7%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.1%
21.2%
66.7%
Pordenone - Parma Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Parma will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 50.6% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Pordenone has the most likely position - 19 (11.48%), has project points - 41, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Parma has the most likely position - 1 (36.55%), has project points - 73, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a good chance of promoted (65%), has a chance of win league (37%).
Pordenone has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Parma is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Parma have a series of home games.
Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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