Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	QN Sports
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Parma		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.55
	2.68	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.76	3.41	2.67
	2.74	3.17	2.69	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.83)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
35.1%

Draw
28.5%

Sassuolo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	63.2%	10.5%

Parma - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 39. Circati A. (C) 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 27. Britschgi S. 24. Ordonez C. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 76. Mikolajewski D. 9. Pellegrino M.	13. Turati S. (G) 25. Coulibaly W. 31. Macchioni T. 21. Idzes J. 23. Garcia U. 42. Thorstvedt K. 35. Lipani L. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 29. Carboni F. 75. Cardinali A. 15. Delprato E. 8. Estevez N. 60. Mazzocchi A. (G) 63. Mena M. 3. Ndiaye A. 65. Plicco E. 22. Sorensen O. 31. Suzuki Z. (G) 77. Tigani E.	37. Baffoh N. 3. Doig J. 20. Fadera A. 33. Frangella C. 44. Iannoni E. 18. Matic N. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 49. Muric A. (G) 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 12. Satalino G. (G) 36. Vezzosi G. 7. Volpato C. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Britschgi S. 🟨,
18', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
21', Macchioni T. 🟨,
30', Valenti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Cardinali A. ↑,
54', Idzes J. ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
61', Valenti L. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
65', Kone I. ↓, Matic N. ↑,
66', Lauriente A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
72', Keita M. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
73', Britschgi S. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
76', Valeri E. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Almqvist P. (A),
83', Lipani L. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
83', Turati S. ↓, Zacchi G. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Elphege N. (Thigh Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Knee Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Oristanio G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Idzes J. (Foot Injury) Romagna F. (Inactive) Vranckx A. (Inactive) Walukiewicz S. (Leg Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Parma won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sassuolo - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Como - Parma	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Parma - Roma	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Inter Milan - Parma	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Parma - Pisa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Sassuolo - Lecce	2:3 ✺
08.05.26	Torino - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sassuolo - Milan	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Sassuolo - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Parma - Sassuolo	1:0
01.08.21	Parma - Sassuolo	0:3
Italian Serie A
16.05.21	Parma - Sassuolo	1:3
17.01.21	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1
16.02.20	Sassuolo - Parma	0:1
25.09.19	Parma - Sassuolo	1:0

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