Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Maggioni L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Frosinone		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.05	3.2	3.75
	2.12	3.2	4.11
	2.09	3.04	4	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.27)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.89 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
45.6%

Draw
30.1%

Parma
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	7.1%	8.6%

Frosinone - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 59 - 84.3%). Parma will win (votes: 6 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 75.8% – 92.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (93.71%), has project points - 78, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (94%).

Parma has the most likely position - 7 (9.71%), has project points - 53, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 43, importance 32, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

Frosinone in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Parma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frosinone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.02.23	Palermo - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Frosinone - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Como - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Frosinone - Benevento	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Brescia - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
18.02.23	Parma - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ternana - Parma	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Parma - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.10.22	Parma - Frosinone	2:1
21.01.22	Parma - Frosinone	0:1
20.08.21	Frosinone - Parma	2:2
Coppa Italia
05.12.19	Parma - Frosinone	2:1
Italian Serie A
03.04.19	Frosinone - Parma	3:2
04.11.18	Parma - Frosinone	0:0
Italian Serie B
07.04.18	Parma - Frosinone	2:0

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