The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 39.7%
Draw 28.4%
Port Vale 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
28.3%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
7.7%
23.1%
Northampton Town - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 35. Dyche M. 24. Moore E. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 8. McGeehan C. 14. Fornah T. 9. Eaves T.
46. Gauci J. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 24. Kyle John (C) 33. Hall G. 14. Ojo F. 27. Campbell E. 11. Archer E. 9. Stockley J. 21. Sherif M.
Substitutes
1. Burge L. (G) 15. Evans J. 17. Jacobs M. 10. List E. 3. McCarthy C. 21. Perkins J. 11. Swyer K.
13. Amos B. (G) 15. Gordon L. 45. Gray A. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 26. Shipley J. 19. Waine B. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Nolan K.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Heneghan B. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
28', Burroughs J. 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Burroughs J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
60', Archer E. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
61', Sherif M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
61', Hall G. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
64', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
64', Taylor T. ↓, List E. ↑,
72', Eaves T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
76', Stockley J. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
86', Hoskins S. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
89', Ojo F. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
Northampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Fitzsimons R. (G) 
Burroughs J. 
Taylor T. 
McGeehan C. 
Fornah T. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Ojo F. 
Sherif M. 
McCarthy C. 
Gordon L. 
Gray A. 
Waine B. 
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