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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 21.4%
Draw 28.6%
Bristol City 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
26.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
25.6%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Port Vale - Bristol City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Bristol City will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 35. Magloire T. 25. Humphreys C. (C) 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 12. Walters R. 26. Shipley J. 15. Gordon L. 11. Archer E. 21. Sherif M. 19. Waine B.
13. Lumley J. (G) 2. McCrorie R. 38. Eile N. 3. Pring C. 24. Naylor S. 40. Morsy S. 6. Bird M. (C) 20. Bell S. 10. Twine S. 11. Burgzorg D. 30. Armstrong S.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 27. Campbell E. 45. Gray A. 3. Headley J. 50. Hernandez O. 24. Kyle John 9. Stockley J. 28. Ward G.
14. Horvat T. 12. Knight J. 21. Neto Borges 4. Randell A. 18. Riis E. 17. Sykes M. 19. Tanner G. 46. Thelwell M. 23. Vitek R. (G)
Coaches
Brady J.
Struber G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Pring C. 🟨,
37', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCrorie R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
48', Walters R. 🟨,
61', Bird M. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
61', Burgzorg D. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
63', Sherif M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
63', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
64', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
65', Kyle John 🟨,
78', Armstrong S. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
80', Archer E. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
82', Walters R. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
85', Naylor S. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Twine S. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
98', Magloire T. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
103', Humphreys C. 🟨,
105', Knight J. 🟨,
112', 1 - 0, Waine B. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
Preview
Postponed due to unsuitable ground. Event will be played on 3.3. 20:45.
Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Outrights of English FA Cup for now
Bristol City: 0.37%
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Bristol City - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gauci J. (G) 
Magloire T. 
Shipley J. 
Gordon L. 
Sherif M. 
Waine B. 
McCrorie R. 
Eile N. 
Morsy S. 
Burgzorg D. 
Brown D. 
Hernandez O. 
Horvat T. 
Neto Borges 
Riis E. 
Vitek R. (G) 
Struber G. 
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