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Port Vale - Sunderland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Port Vale Sunderland
    Port Vale Sunderland
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 7 4.2 1.45
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.18 ↓
    (7.53)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.2)    		 2.68 ↑
    (1.41)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Port Vale
    20.8%    		Draw
    31.2%    		Sunderland
    48%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    12.3% 22% 65.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    13% 20.8% 62.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    0% 9.1% 90.9%

    Port Vale - Sunderland Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    46. AustraliaGauci J. (G)
      6. EnglandLawrence-Gabriel J.
    25. EnglandHumphreys C.
    24. EnglandKyle John (C)
      5. EnglandHall C.
    15. GuyanaGordon L.
    19. NewWaine B.
    12. EnglandWalters R.
    14. BelgiumOjo F.
    11. EnglandArcher E.
    10. JamaicaBrown D.
    		31. SwedenEllborg M. (G)
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
      5. NorthernBallard D.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L. (C)
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
    11. EnglandRigg C.
    10. EcuadorAngulo N.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
    Substitutes
    13. EnglandAmos B. (G)
    27. EnglandCampbell E.
    45. JamaicaGray A.
    33. EnglandHall G.
      3. EnglandHeadley J.
    50. CubaHernandez O.
    35. EnglandMagloire T.
    26. IrelandShipley J.
    28. EnglandWard G.
    		29. NigeriaAbdullahi A.
    30. SerbiaAleksic M.
    18. FranceIsidor W.
    50. EnglandJones H.
    51. EnglandJones J.
    21. EnglandMoore S. (G)
    53. EnglandWhittaker J.
    34. SwitzerlandXhaka G.
    Coaches
         AustraliaBrady J.
    		     FranceLe Bris R.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 28', 1 - 0, Waine B. ⚽, Brown D. (A),
    • 30', Brown D. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Humphreys C. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
    • 54', Waine B. 🟨,
    • 57', Archer E. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
    • 57', Brown D. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
    • 61', Ellborg M. 🟨,
    • 63', Brady J. 🟨,
    • 68', Talbi C. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
    • 81', Gordon L. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
    • 83', Rigg C. ↓, Xhaka G. ↑,
    • 88', Waine B. ↓, Ward G. ↑,

    Preview

  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • In this match, Sunderland is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Hume T. (Yellow Cards) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury) Roefs R. (Muscle Injury) Sadiki N. (Yellow Cards) Traore B. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Port Vale: Croasdale R. (Inactive) Heneghan B. (Injury) Magloire T. (Injury)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

    • Outrights of English FA Cup for now
    Sunderland: 0.99%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Port Vale
    English FA Cup
    03.03.26 Port Vale - Bristol City 1:0 ET ✺
    English League One
    28.02.26 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1 ✺
    24.02.26 Northampton Town - Port Vale 0:1 ✺
    21.02.26 Port Vale - Reading 1:1 ✺
    17.02.26 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7
    WTWTL
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    03.03.26 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    28.02.26 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:1 ✺
    22.02.26 Sunderland - Fulham 1:3 ✺
    English FA Cup
    15.02.26 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    11.02.26 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6
    WTLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Cup
    10.08.21 Port Vale - Sunderland 1:2
    English EFL Trophy
    12.01.21 Sunderland - Port Vale 2:0
    English FA Cup
    11.11.18 Port Vale - Sunderland 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Port Vale
    English League Two
    17.10.26 Port Vale - Chesterfield ✺
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland ✺

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