Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	00:30	Stan Sport
Austria	14:30	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	15:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	Sportsnet+
China	21:30	Migu
Czech Republic	14:30	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	14:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	15:30	Viaplay
France	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	14:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:30	M Plus Live, Now Sports Prime
Hungary	14:30	Spiler1 TV
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	20:30	Vidio
Israel	15:30	Sport 2
Italy	14:30	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	22:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	19:30	Sport+
Kenya	16:30	Gotv
Malaysia	21:30	SKY NET Sports X
Malta	14:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	07:30	HBO Max
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	14:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:30	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	14:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Poland	14:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
Romania	15:30	Voyo
Serbia	14:30	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	21:30	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	14:30	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	14:30	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	15:30	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Sweden	14:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	14:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	21:30	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	16:30	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
United Kingdom	13:30	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	18:30	Zor TV
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	FPT Play


	Port Vale		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.45
	6.75	4.5	1.46
	6.9	4.15	1.5
	7.34	4.28	1.5
	1.48	3.48	9.93	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	7.3	4.33	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↓ (7.53)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	2.68 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
20.8%

Draw
31.2%

Sunderland
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.3%

22%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

21.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Port Vale - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 25. Humphreys C. 24. Kyle John (C) 5. Hall C. 15. Gordon L. 19. Waine B. 12. Walters R. 14. Ojo F. 11. Archer E. 10. Brown D.	31. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 13. O'Nien L. (C) 19. Diarra H. 11. Rigg C. 10. Angulo N. 28. Le Fee E. 7. Talbi C. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 27. Campbell E. 45. Gray A. 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 50. Hernandez O. 35. Magloire T. 26. Shipley J. 28. Ward G.	29. Abdullahi A. 30. Aleksic M. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 51. Jones J. 21. Moore S. (G) 53. Whittaker J. 34. Xhaka G.
Coaches
Brady J.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Waine B. ⚽, Brown D. (A),
30', Brown D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Humphreys C. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
54', Waine B. 🟨,
57', Archer E. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
57', Brown D. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
61', Ellborg M. 🟨,
63', Brady J. 🟨,
68', Talbi C. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
81', Gordon L. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
83', Rigg C. ↓, Xhaka G. ↑,
88', Waine B. ↓, Ward G. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sunderland is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Hume T. (Yellow Cards) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury) Roefs R. (Muscle Injury) Sadiki N. (Yellow Cards) Traore B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Croasdale R. (Inactive) Heneghan B. (Injury) Magloire T. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Sunderland: 1.07%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English FA Cup
03.03.26	Port Vale - Bristol City	1:0 ET ✺
English League One
28.02.26	Port Vale - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Northampton Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Port Vale - Reading	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWTL
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
03.03.26	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
10.08.21	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:2
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Sunderland - Port Vale	2:0
English FA Cup
11.11.18	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:2

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