Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Salford City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.33	3.47
	2.14	3.21	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5
	2.11	3.31	3.41	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	3.44 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
44%

Draw
28.7%

Salford City
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Port Vale - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. 6. Smith N. 24. Kyle John 18. Croasdale R. 45. Harper R. 7. Byers G. 42. Hart S. 32. Hackford A. 11. Curtis R.	1. Jones J. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 16. Tilt C. 29. Garbutt L. 11. Taylor J. 8. Lund M. 5. Negru S. 6. Fornah T. 31. Adelakun H. 9. Stockton C. 27. Kouassi K.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 10. Chislett E. 4. Heneghan B. 16. Lowe J. 26. Richards R. 23. Shorrock J. 37. Umolu J.	3. Berkoe K. 40. Curran-Nichols J. 2. Edwards T. 25. Longelo-Mbule R. 23. Malcolm K. 44. Wright W. 13. Young M. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Mnoga H. 🟨,
35', Stockton C. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garbutt L. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Harper R. ⚽,
62', Taylor J. ↓, Curran-Nichols J. ↑,
65', Hackford A. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
71', Wright W. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Adelakun H. (Pen),
79', Hart S. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
80', Harper R. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
87', Kyle John ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Salford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Port Vale: Sang T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Injury) Austerfield J. (Injury) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) N'Mai K. (Injury) Shephard L. (Injury) Woodburn B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Chislett E. (Inactive) Richards R. (Inactive) Stockley J. (Injury) Tolaj L. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
13.02.25	Port Vale - Notts County	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Port Vale - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Chesterfield - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWT
- Salford City
English League Two
15.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Salford City	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Salford City - Bromley	3:3 ✺
01.02.25	Walsall - Salford City	2:2 ✺
28.01.25	Salford City - Newport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Salford City - Port Vale	0:2
English League Two
10.08.24	Salford City - Port Vale	0:2
English EFL Trophy
20.12.22	Salford City - Port Vale	1:0
English League Two
05.04.22	Salford City - Port Vale	0:1
18.01.22	Port Vale - Salford City	0:1
02.03.21	Salford City - Port Vale	1:0
17.10.20	Port Vale - Salford City	1:0

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