Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 32

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Singapore	04:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
International	20:00	Disney+


	Port Vale		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.54
	2.83	3.2	2.51	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5
	2.78	3.32	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.67)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
33.4%

Draw
28.9%

Notts County
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	11.1%	83.3%

Port Vale - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 66.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 24. Kyle John 18. Croasdale R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 7. Byers G. 23. Shorrock J. 9. Stockley J. 19. Tolaj L.	1. Bass A. (G) 3. McDonald R. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gordon K. 33. Abbott G. 18. Palmer M. (C) 27. Johnson Z. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A. 22. Edwards C.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 11. Curtis R. 32. Hackford A. 45. Harper R. 42. Hart S. 4. Heneghan B. 37. Umolu J.	44. Cisse M. 24. Cundy R. 6. Hinchy J. 36. Jarvis W. 21. Slocombe S. (G) 7. Traore M. 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Moore D.	Maynard S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Stockley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
66', Shorrock J. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
68', Gordon K. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
81', Grant C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
81', Edwards C. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
90', Kyle John ↓, Harper R. ↑,
90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,

Preview

Selt is ranked World Ranking: 34. Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 26.

Two players are playing changeable.

Selt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lisowski will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Selt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:11 (average 1:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
08.02.25	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Port Vale - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Chesterfield - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Port Vale - Newport County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTW
- Notts County
English League Two
08.02.25	Notts County - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Gillingham - Notts County	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Notts County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.10.24	Notts County - Port Vale	0:1
02.03.19	Notts County - Port Vale	0:0
03.11.18	Port Vale - Notts County	2:2
01.01.18	Notts County - Port Vale	1:0
02.09.17	Port Vale - Notts County	0:1
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Port Vale - Notts County	2:1
English League One
28.02.15	Notts County - Port Vale	0:1

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