Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 32

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Port Vale		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.54
	2.83	3.2	2.51	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5
	2.78	3.32	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.67)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
33.4%

Draw
28.9%

Notts County
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	11.1%	83.3%

Port Vale - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 66.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 24. Kyle John 18. Croasdale R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 7. Byers G. 23. Shorrock J. 9. Stockley J. 19. Tolaj L.	1. Bass A. (G) 3. McDonald R. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gordon K. 33. Abbott G. 18. Palmer M. (C) 27. Johnson Z. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A. 22. Edwards C.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 11. Curtis R. 32. Hackford A. 45. Harper R. 42. Hart S. 4. Heneghan B. 37. Umolu J.	44. Cisse M. 24. Cundy R. 6. Hinchy J. 36. Jarvis W. 21. Slocombe S. (G) 7. Traore M. 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Moore D.	Maynard S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Stockley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
66', Shorrock J. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
68', Gordon K. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
81', Grant C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
81', Edwards C. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
90', Kyle John ↓, Harper R. ↑,
90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,

Preview

Selt is ranked World Ranking: 34. Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 26.

Two players are playing changeable.

Selt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lisowski will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Selt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:11 (average 1:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
08.02.25	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Port Vale - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Chesterfield - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Port Vale - Newport County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTW
- Notts County
English League Two
08.02.25	Notts County - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Gillingham - Notts County	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Notts County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.10.24	Notts County - Port Vale	0:1
02.03.19	Notts County - Port Vale	0:0
03.11.18	Port Vale - Notts County	2:2
01.01.18	Notts County - Port Vale	1:0
02.09.17	Port Vale - Notts County	0:1
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Port Vale - Notts County	2:1
English League One
28.02.15	Notts County - Port Vale	0:1

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